Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeede3287a911236795025295864650bd8a7ff47fd2772e350de5920c90943bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 40c | 874.85$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 39c | 492.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 42c | 431.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 425.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…9304backed No | 55c | 415.9$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 73c | 396.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 72c | 224.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 72c | 213.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 202.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 184.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…e82fbacked No | 32c | 183.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 31c | 182.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 43c | 171.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 69c | 167.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed No | 47c | 166.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 33c | 164.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 56c | 158.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 152.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…5222backed Yes | 72c | 138.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 29c | 133.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 51c | 128.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 57c | 124.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 27c | 122.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked Yes | 79c | 121.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 26c | 117.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…d388backed No | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 37c | 111.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 58c | 109.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 105.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 44c | 103.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 25c | 99.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 72c | 97.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Yes | 73c | 95.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 70c | 94.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 79c | 90.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 89.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 87.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…6987backed Yes | 70c | 86.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 65c | 84.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 58c | 81.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Yes | 74c | 79.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 19c | 78.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 53c | 75.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked Yes | 75c | 72.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 53c | 71.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…2b8ebacked Yes | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 47c | 64.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 71c | 62.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 41c | 61.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Yes | 80c | 59.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 63c | 59.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed Yes | 77c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 52c | 59.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed Yes | 72c | 57.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 23c | 55.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…2f12backed Yes | 44c | 54.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 47c | 54.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 75c | 51.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 22c | 51.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 57c | 50.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 74c | 49.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed Yes | 78c | 48.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 64c | 48.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…0c8cbacked Yes | 65c | 47.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 169 | 24.3%41 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 73c | 46.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes | 76c | 46.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 28c | 44.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed Yes | 75c | 42.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 65c | 42.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 52c | 41.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 49c | 38.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 38.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…2778backed Yes | 52c | 38.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…a265backed Yes | 79c | 37.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 52c | 37.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 36.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 47c | 35.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 53c | 34.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 39c | 33.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 77c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 59c | 32.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes | 65c | 31.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 75c | 30.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 70c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 66c | 28.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…ae1dbacked Yes | 80c | 27.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…d987backed Yes | 46c | 26.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ad9dbacked Yes | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 59c | 25.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked Yes | 75c | 25.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…fc8ebacked Yes | 70c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 49c | 24.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed Yes | 61c | 23.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.