CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e5edd5220a213221ce0e7ea76413a9779bcc75528bd87ba2699ad910b40649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WAZABIof SAW, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WAZABI | 32c | 1,472$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WAZABI | 42c | 1,062$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked SAW | 5c | 984.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed WAZABI | 47c | 808.2$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed SAW | 55c | 797.26$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.49 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed SAW | 9c | 768.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked SAW | 55c | 681.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.03 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed SAW | 52c | 661.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WAZABI | 44c | 656.27$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed SAW | 31c | 649.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed SAW | 53c | 609.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.23 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed SAW | 53c | 513.73$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SAW | 69c | 500$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked SAW | 4c | 472.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed WAZABI | 68c | 431.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed SAW | 68c | 409.47$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed SAW | 52c | 387.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW | 71c | 355.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WAZABI | 58c | 355.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 75c | 322.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed SAW | 55c | 295.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed WAZABI | 52c | 285.46$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…ace4backed SAW | 56c | 267.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…d880backed WAZABI | 45c | 265.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…8b0abacked SAW | 13c | 220.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed SAW | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed SAW | 55c | 176.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked SAW | 14c | 168.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed WAZABI | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked WAZABI | 45c | 161.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed WAZABI | 33c | 149.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked WAZABI | 38c | 148.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed WAZABI | 34c | 145.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed WAZABI | 69c | 121.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed WAZABI | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SAW | 64c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed SAW | 78c | 116.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked WAZABI | 57c | 111.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SAW | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed WAZABI | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SAW | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed SAW | 51c | 93.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked WAZABI | 25c | 73.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SAW | 63c | 63.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SAW | 36c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed WAZABI | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked SAW | 56c | 42.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed WAZABI | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked WAZABI | 56c | 34.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SAW | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked WAZABI | 36c | 30.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed SAW | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed WAZABI | 40c | 26.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed WAZABI | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed SAW | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI - Map 2 WinnerWAZABI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.