CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb9e5f1be45d487b60dae983ab646e711150a56a88ccfcdfea07b4da8600d754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed SAW | 51c | 511.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked SAW | 51c | 481.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed WAZABI | 48c | 480.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed WAZABI | 27c | 322.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked WAZABI | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WAZABI | 41c | 298$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SAW | 74c | 188.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked SAW | 58c | 159.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 65c | 120.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…8c96backed WAZABI | 44c | 105.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed WAZABI | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed WAZABI | 41c | 74.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WAZABI | 51c | 48.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WAZABI | 48c | 45.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SAW | 58c | 41.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed WAZABI | 37c | 38.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsWAZABI won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI - Map 2 WinnerWAZABI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.