World Politics · resolved market
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2766ea369789ee3f7ea289b7215331664b8a83a032fd38d6596b0cefc5879ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1e9…9f36backed Yes | 69c | 14,665$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 31c | 11,180$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.85 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…beddbacked No | 25c | 4,784$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…5483backed Yes | 74c | 4,660$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 67c | 3,071$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,786$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 25c | 2,709$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.12 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 64c | 2,708$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.78 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 62c | 2,561$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.18 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5746backed No | 15c | 2,488$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fd…c6bbbacked Yes | 63c | 2,371$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 41c | 1,990$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes | 60c | 1,678$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed No | 35c | 1,642$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes | 65c | 1,503$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…1075backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,288$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 63c | 1,285$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.53 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 66c | 1,206$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Yes | 59c | 1,053$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 67c | 1,031$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 34c | 1,007$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 34c | 985$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…79bbbacked Yes | 63c | 956.74$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed Yes | 59c | 948.54$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a6fabacked Yes | 79c | 875.12$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…11bbbacked Yes | 57c | 874.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 860.12$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 27c | 800$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…3f07backed Yes | 72c | 768.75$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 66c | 753$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +154%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…3c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 700$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…f15bbacked Yes | 64c | 659.49$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…a813backed Yes | 76c | 638.44$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…66edbacked Yes | 65c | 613.82$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed No | 40c | 603.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…5753backed Yes | 69c | 600.28$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 60c | 561.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…f9d1backed Yes | 60c | 558.12$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 74c | 556.52$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…bc08backed No | 20c | 553.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 61c | 549.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 43c | 514.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 59c | 495$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 482.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 26c | 457.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 59c | 442$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…e57dbacked Yes | 59c | 440.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 41c | 434$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed Yes | 61c | 412.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…0d6bbacked No | 37c | 401.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…b571backed Yes | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 71c | 375.17$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 58c | 341.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 66c | 336$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 74c | 335.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 8c | 328.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.13 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 43c | 307.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…2d7dbacked Yes | 66c | 304.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed No | 34c | 303$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 71c | 299.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 58c | 299.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 37c | 299$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 63c | 299$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 75c | 298.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 13c | 295.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…670dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…6a49backed Yes | 68c | 263.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 64c | 259.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…8a82backed Yes | 80c | 259.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…52fcbacked Yes | 72c | 259.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 38c | 249.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…7d80backed Yes | 70c | 247.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes | 38c | 247.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…7bdfbacked Yes | 74c | 242.68$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2094…26e6backed Yes | 60c | 232.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…e977backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…5cf4backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…afaebacked No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…de5dbacked No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…12d0backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…49a0backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 59c | 217$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 43c | 214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…f241backed Yes | 66c | 213.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 69c | 212.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…7a4bbacked No | 44c | 212.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 212.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 10c | 207.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +887%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?this page
- Will Adrienne Charles win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No won
- Will Benjamin Rankin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No won
- Will Maria Cantore win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No won
- Will Maxime Beaudoin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No won
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.