AI · resolved market
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee8382c23a46a7c80dcdf5539444fddc9614214145c94b083f052f0451bf704f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4739…138cbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 67c | 4,545$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.98 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 79c | 3,505$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.05 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 3,274$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.73 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…0640backed Yes | 70c | 2,379$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked No | 12c | 2,052$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…7681backed No | 23c | 1,871$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 11c | 1,571$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…2ceebacked No | 10c | 1,479$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…0ad3backed Yes | 64c | 1,471$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…225fbacked No | 16c | 1,078$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…2cdfbacked No | 11c | 1,076$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 30c | 1,014$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 7c | 1,008$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3d…17a7backed No | 10c | 960.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…43adbacked No | 17c | 937.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…255ebacked No | 16c | 867.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…0a40backed No | 28c | 842.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 834$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed No | 11c | 827.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed No | 23c | 806.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…1efbbacked No | 17c | 780$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…a5b1backed No | 12c | 745.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…986fbacked No | 13c | 692.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 19c | 682.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…9edfbacked No | 15c | 672.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed No | 65c | 669.54$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed No | 10c | 660.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…5e0dbacked No | 6c | 650$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…aa59backed No | 31c | 615.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f80…2a00backed No | 36c | 603.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…e34ebacked No | 17c | 555.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 549.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…ffe2backed No | 11c | 549.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…7b83backed No | 10c | 541.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed No | 14c | 531.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 531.43$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…53a4backed No | 10c | 525.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…bce0backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 24c | 499.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…0acfbacked No | 10c | 499.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 57c | 420$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fd4dbacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964a…5836backed No | 14c | 398.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 10c | 380.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…0130backed No | 17c | 372.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…2b6cbacked No | 19c | 359.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed No | 5c | 354.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 334.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…46afbacked No | 14c | 331.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…690abacked No | 30c | 321.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…5a92backed No | 13c | 305.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 7c | 304.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 25c | 304$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Yes | 78c | 299.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 41c | 299.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…cb2bbacked No | 9c | 290.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 37c | 289.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed No | 17c | 276.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 17c | 272.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 11c | 256.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…2a27backed No | 11c | 253.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 41c | 240.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…fcc8backed No | 15c | 233.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…ecd7backed No | 22c | 233.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…09f8backed No | 22c | 226.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0e…3700backed No | 11c | 219.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a0…5a8fbacked Yes | 71c | 213.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…4859backed No | 11c | 212.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 38c | 210.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 17c | 210.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…e510backed No | 23c | 205.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 51c | 200.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…47e8backed No | 10c | 185.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 58c | 184.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed No | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…1e55backed No | 10c | 162.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…1852backed Yes | 77c | 159.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…309bbacked No | 18c | 157.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…135fbacked No | 24c | 151.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…4a39backed Yes | 59c | 147.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…24a9backed No | 24c | 146.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…9355backed No | 22c | 143.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked No | 14c | 141.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…b8c6backed No | 11c | 139.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…87f3backed No | 14c | 136.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea0…303cbacked No | 14c | 136.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 24c | 134.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 15c | 129.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 77c | 127.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…c555backed No | 13c | 126.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31b…11e8backed No | 16c | 125.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…0f25backed No | 12c | 116.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…c80abacked No | 10c | 115.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 113.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?this page
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?No won
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.