TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71a4…4a39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Alycia Parksbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.76
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.38
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$300.45
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.64
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.84
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$70.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$63.62
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$18.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$61.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.