TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes27c40,799$11,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,143.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes66c37,136$24,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,478.861741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No33c33,169$10,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,281.7434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c17,270$12,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.325459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No21c16,288$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,938.151127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes75c12,320$9,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,278.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No19c12,246$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,963.619950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked No37c12,000$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No72c9,498$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.327248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes11c8,560$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.582536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No44c5,658$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No40c5,623$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.813748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No67c4,926$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.2911053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No13c4,744$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.859576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No13c4,710$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.0116819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c4,588$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.1532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c4,408$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.8798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes28c4,235$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.82250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No73c3,947$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.4212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes36c3,636$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.129650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c3,052$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.7149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.994663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c2,660$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.4619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No53c2,628$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.634647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes3c2,499$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.981030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c2,353$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.5222545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c2,236$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.4226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Yes56c2,190$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c2,150$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55913517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c2,104$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.3335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes30c2,062$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.953928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes29c2,049$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.84528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No75c2,025$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.321040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes80c2,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c2,000$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4058…49d2backed No77c1,975$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No42c1,864$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.2811153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c1,827$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c1,805$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.8224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes47c1,735$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.648232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes29c1,720$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c1,635$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked No45c1,556$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf404…0422backed Yes1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes27c1,427$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.21414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No63c1,377$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.995955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Yes72c1,360$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No72c1,302$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.954170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c1,252$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8613839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c1,238$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.581,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Yes27c1,150$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked No41c1,134$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.891163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes38c1,036$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes57c1,013$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6411772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c981.97$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.16567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes29c960.35$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.512357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c945.63$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7818951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c932.53$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c900.97$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No22c886.96$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.111618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2348…cf00backed Yes75c868.12$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked No69c849.96$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c838.22$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes2c829.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes12c800$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No72c786.64$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+91.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked No79c784.9$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes32c764.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.21010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-80.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No76c681.27$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.925967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No74c668.03$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.692231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No33c666.37$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.012166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No13c658.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No78c644.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes20c635.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.092466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No67c624.57$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.111450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No74c624$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.246167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No75c613.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.582035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes58c600.74$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked No43c585.93$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No73c583.12$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4414651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c565.9$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No70c552.17$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.927762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes29c551.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Yes28c534.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes31c528.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.810549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No63c505.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.827763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes29c485.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Yes28c453.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No43c427.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.693348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92f3…fb28backed No24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes29c410.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.183167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.