TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TYLOOof paiN, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$786,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 826 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed TYLOO47c119,999$56,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,599.3820354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN51c54,237$27,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,861.0141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO48c52,157$25,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,155.845,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed paiN52c49,849$26,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,122.211963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN28c40,702$11,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,217.841,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN53c40,000$21,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,049.8876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed TYLOO46c37,710$17,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,363.423046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked TYLOO47c35,701$16,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,921.667040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed TYLOO48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed TYLOO51c23,326$11,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,432.9650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed paiN53c21,082$11,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,173.223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked paiN54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked paiN52c18,958$9,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,934.9338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed paiN53c18,870$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,001.0319455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked TYLOO64c11,528$7,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.1441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN52c11,111$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.7167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN36c10,478$3,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.8722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO48c10,185$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,346.12,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked TYLOO48c9,837$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked TYLOO46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.9323145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked paiN54c8,380$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN53c8,295$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed TYLOO48c8,092$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.1450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked TYLOO48c7,794$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.6442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked paiN53c6,648$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.2527658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed paiN53c6,596$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.1225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed TYLOO46c6,482$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.2435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed TYLOO47c6,418$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.3810361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed paiN52c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.615947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed paiN52c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.5615052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed paiN53c5,236$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.9430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked TYLOO46c5,032$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.4175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked TYLOO48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TYLOO47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed paiN52c4,862$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.0410359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN53c4,767$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.6235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO48c4,500$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed paiN52c4,300$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked paiN52c4,055$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.4217853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed paiN29c4,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1505935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked paiN54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed paiN54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed paiN53c3,618$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN50c3,366$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.1981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed paiN53c3,181$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6866251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TYLOO47c3,032$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.7688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed paiN53c3,019$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TYLOO53c3,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.71,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked TYLOO47c3,000$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.1117540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked TYLOO49c2,519$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.312760.6%77 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7b…779cbacked TYLOO68c2,387$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.864362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TYLOO45c2,309$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.811,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked paiN48c2,246$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.5513947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed TYLOO54c2,237$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9315155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked paiN52c2,170$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.381,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed TYLOO48c2,162$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.2213754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN39c2,140$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.265,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN53c2,092$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1131,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed paiN52c2,088$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.7613646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked TYLOO48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.339454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed TYLOO48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed paiN53c2,051$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.7425248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed TYLOO47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed paiN53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06024262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed paiN53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed paiN26c1,961$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50521346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed paiN53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed paiN53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed paiN53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed paiN53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked paiN53c1,880$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.419346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked paiN54c1,867$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.248151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN44c1,846$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed paiN50c1,840$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.6427961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed TYLOO50c1,730$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6718338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN36c1,708$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.471,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked TYLOO48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO48c1,689$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.042,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked TYLOO60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6717148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN42c1,623$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.474,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked TYLOO70c1,614$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.1223249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae7…003abacked paiN52c1,607$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.48988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed TYLOO48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TYLOO63c1,600$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.151,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd346…9999backed paiN32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+195.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked TYLOO48c1,524$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.3629839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked paiN43c1,524$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.163,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN48c1,512$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.531,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed paiN53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x824f…b105backed paiN54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TYLOO47c1,450$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked TYLOO55c1,432$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.2635460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed paiN15c1,430$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21310333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked paiN53c1,420$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed paiN51c1,411$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.764440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed paiN46c1,410$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked paiN39c1,381$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6716920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed TYLOO47c1,364$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6913049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed paiN54c1,359$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7142651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.