CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770bbb7778654c60114ace0fb6266771f1c4880aea38b39ee1bf65d760204b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof paiN, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191b…5b67backed TYLOO | 55c | 3,805$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.85 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 45c | 3,760$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO | 65c | 612.16$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed TYLOO | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed paiN | 36c | 217.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked paiN | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…1c1dbacked paiN | 34c | 134.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO | 66c | 118.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…4521backed paiN | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…18dcbacked paiN | 39c | 115.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked TYLOO | 64c | 113.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN | 29c | 106.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed paiN | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed TYLOO | 64c | 94.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN | 35c | 86.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TYLOO | 67c | 74.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed paiN | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked TYLOO | 65c | 35.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2TYLOO won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.