MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f251ab01cd67e14b0b0a0dc47c8d303f00899e0f18bfd5a8a0330f991f9324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof St. Louis Cardinals, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 60,000$36,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 46,159$18,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,001.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 29,372$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 24,387$16,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 24,123$14,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 23,226$14,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,593.65 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 21,285$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,301.15 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 19,084$7,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,171.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 18,919$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 11,196$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 9,792$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 6,418$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.75 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 6,014$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,942$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 5,619$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.21 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 5,194$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 4,688$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.49 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,585$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 3,984$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 3,822$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.17 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 3,336$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,308$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 3,245$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 3,017$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.42 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 3,017$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,450$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 2,181$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.39 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,105$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 2,054$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 2,017$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,013$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,847$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.97 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,706$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,646$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,641$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,499$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 1,476$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,431$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,348$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,170$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.79 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,168$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,161$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,038$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,009$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.31 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 946.14$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 882.9$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.69 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 822.92$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 815.9$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 788.84$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.41 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 758.86$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 757.22$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 740.02$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 738.45$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 730$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 700.02$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 643.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.57 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 634.38$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 606.01$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 585.94$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 580.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 578.95$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 487.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 469.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.02 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 430.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 430$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 415.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 403.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 389.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 379.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…4a39backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 360.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 352.15$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 350.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 349$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 345$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 319.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 316.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 299.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 282.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 276.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 256$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 255.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 255$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 220.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 217.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 214.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 213.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.