MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa467ea4f485159cfbd1ec4a0ec22c10e2978338459c73d47c65c0f60cc693d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $662,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 155,138$85,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,287.02 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 120,000$57,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,399.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 54,793$24,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,737.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 31,633$14,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,234.78 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 29,902$13,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,446.01 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 27,843$12,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,388.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 23,279$14,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.79 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 20,346$10,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,580.05 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 15,842$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 15,553$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 13,846$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,185.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 12,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.96 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…f44dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 8,933$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 6,292$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 6,174$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 5,523$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.22 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.59 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 5,085$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,269$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,033$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.13 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,432$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,059$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.69 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,059$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.69 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,837$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 2,662$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.23 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,528$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.46 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,466$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.91 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,340$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.76 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,137$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.64 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,137$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,097$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,072$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.98 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,999$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.71 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.18 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,781$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,728$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.65 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,347$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.48 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,281$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,280$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,273$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.61 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,259$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.8 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,203$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,196$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 1,031$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,024$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,002$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,002$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.9 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 935.62$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 843.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.76 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 799.49$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.79 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 762.66$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 751.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 669.64$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 668$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.72 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 642.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 628.42$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.78 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 597.43$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 560.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 560.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 547.54$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 542.01$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 497.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 489$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 478.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 471$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 449.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 434.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 416.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 397.1$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 390.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 384.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 382.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…4a39backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 381.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 362.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.