TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6f7…87ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$3,234.22
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$952.05
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+46%+$1,043.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$96.86
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$269
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.54
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$7.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.02
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$124
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+321.1%+$228.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+515.4%+$334.99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.58
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$354.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$405.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+684%+$497.3
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+114%+$95.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-82.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AWS service disrupted by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.83
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$78.15
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$153.25
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$44.95
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$8
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$59.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edulbacked Edul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.