AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6f70168265ec2dadd6808a9afdc9fdcda6cda4b81875e31dba8d0b38d50871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b24…84cebacked Yes | 17c | 5,765$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 7c | 3,717$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7352…e156backed Yes | 22c | 3,532$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.43 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed Yes | 65c | 3,051$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 2,194$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 24c | 1,532$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.51 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,470$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,423$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 29c | 1,416$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.56 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 1,412$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,376$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.98 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…5aacbacked Yes | 60c | 1,303$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 6c | 1,054$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 11c | 933.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 904.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 63c | 749.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…311fbacked Yes | 14c | 668$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +376.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 659.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 28c | 615.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…2606backed Yes | 14c | 600.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 558.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…f696backed Yes | 33c | 522$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 507.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa91b…5a12backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…4e00backed Yes | 34c | 492.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 2c | 489.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 483.87$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 4c | 452.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 60c | 337.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…6df3backed Yes | 33c | 336.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 27c | 335.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked No | 40c | 332$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 328.65$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…d3b0backed Yes | 47c | 302$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 59c | 286.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 8c | 273.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…6d85backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…5a03backed Yes | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 248.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed Yes | 20c | 212.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…7d31backed Yes | 6c | 209$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6999backed Yes | 29c | 195.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 5c | 190.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5306backed Yes | 26c | 171.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +462%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 37c | 168.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…e11abacked Yes | 9c | 160.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…e3c2backed Yes | 21c | 159.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 37c | 157.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc68…bf42backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 148.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…2afdbacked Yes | 18c | 140.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…edafbacked Yes | 17c | 139.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed No | 75c | 138.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…9365backed Yes | 36c | 126.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 75c | 123.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…3c79backed Yes | 41c | 120.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked Yes | 20c | 118.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ace…9850backed Yes | 41c | 117.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 20c | 113.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…17d0backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 14c | 107$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 106.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 105.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked Yes | 14c | 105.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…bca6backed Yes | 17c | 100.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…0a3bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…7fe1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb4…b2c1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…6b38backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +598.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 72c | 96.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…3cc7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 87.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 13c | 83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…07f2backed Yes | 37c | 80.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…48d1backed Yes | 16c | 77.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 45c | 72.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…97f3backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 80c | 63.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 46c | 59.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…2637backed Yes | 65c | 58.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…4afdbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…cfddbacked No | 73c | 53.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 72c | 51.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…d410backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…1b54backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…d352backed Yes | 52c | 46.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…4421backed Yes | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.