TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e25…97f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST6873.5%50 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+95.3%+$13.72
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+82.9%+$13.6
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+45.3%+$9.06
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$145.4
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$189.28
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+64.5%+$90.3
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+93.9%+$212.15
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+46.4%+$9.28
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.3%+$17.01
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs WATERMELON (BO3)backed Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$508.59
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)backed Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.6%+$128.99
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Oramond (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+27.8%+$40.14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+55.4%+$31.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.2%+$48.79
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.1%+$47.57
Counter-Strike: 500 vs ex-Betera Esports (BO3)backed ex-Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$43.41
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+36.3%+$35.75
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9INE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78.5%+$488.49
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal (BO3)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.6%+$19.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.4%+$4.28
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.94
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.5%+$8.32
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$95.81
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.7%+$3.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.