College Football · resolved market
Toledo vs. Central Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0d5340d30833c7340b481c80b86b79c081cc9d108582ca7f50fcda32b03f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledoof Toledo, Central Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Toledo | 80c | 31,322$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.76 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Central Michigan | 20c | 19,258$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.65 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Toledo | 74c | 11,831$8,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.85 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Central Michigan | 22c | 6,501$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Michigan | 23c | 4,819$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.66 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan | 29c | 4,264$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.23 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Central Michigan | 21c | 3,267$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.11 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Toledo | 78c | 2,026$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.72 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Central Michigan | 23c | 1,800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan | 25c | 1,738$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.91 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Central Michigan | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Central Michigan | 21c | 1,526$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.51 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Toledo | 77c | 1,268$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Central Michigan | 21c | 1,227$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Central Michigan | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toledo | 76c | 1,160$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Central Michigan | 44c | 1,146$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Central Michigan | 23c | 1,082$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Central Michigan | 21c | 1,050$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Central Michigan | 20c | 1,019$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan | 20c | 794.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan | 21c | 633.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Central Michigan | 50c | 617.4$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toledo | 50c | 529.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.91 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Central Michigan | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Central Michigan | 20c | 427.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2037backed Central Michigan | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Toledo | 79c | 378.48$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Toledo | 78c | 376.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Toledo | 77c | 363$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan | 27c | 359.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Toledo | 79c | 294.94$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Central Michigan | 29c | 279.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Toledo | 73c | 274.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Toledo | 76c | 264.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Toledo | 70c | 252.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Central Michigan | 46c | 219.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…7142backed Central Michigan | 22c | 204.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…edf6backed Toledo | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Toledo | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Central Michigan | 24c | 196.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…97f3backed Central Michigan | 55c | 175.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Central Michigan | 24c | 175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Toledo | 76c | 154.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toledo | 68c | 141.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Central Michigan | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Central Michigan | 22c | 137.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Central Michigan | 22c | 111.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Toledo | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Toledo | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Central Michigan | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Toledo | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Central Michigan | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Central Michigan | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Central Michigan | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Toledo | 77c | 86.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Michigan | 44c | 80.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Toledo | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toledo | 73c | 79.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Central Michigan | 14c | 77.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Toledo | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…fc1abacked Central Michigan | 28c | 72.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Toledo | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed Central Michigan | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Central Michigan | 21c | 67.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Central Michigan | 21c | 65.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Central Michigan | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Toledo | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Central Michigan | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Toledo | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Central Michigan | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…f70abacked Toledo | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Toledo | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Toledo | 77c | 36.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toledo | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Toledo | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…44cabacked Central Michigan | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Toledo | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toledo | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…e34dbacked Toledo | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Toledo | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Toledo | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Toledo | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed Toledo | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Toledo | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed Toledo | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9133backed Toledo | 76c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…e2dbbacked Toledo | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Toledo | 79c | 18.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…3444backed Toledo | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4e…069ebacked Toledo | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…bdcdbacked Toledo | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo vs. Central Michiganthis page
- Spread: Toledo (-10.5)Toledo won
- Spread: Toledo (-9.5)Toledo won
- Toledo vs. Central Michigan: O/U 45.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.