TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Nets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,158,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,200,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,158,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks73c100,000$73,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.914052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets30c80,000$24,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,015.221,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets19c80,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets27c76,642$20,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,693.2587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks74c71,146$52,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,497.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets26c61,729$16,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,276.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Nets24c53,547$12,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,933.7416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets27c41,000$10,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,933.91,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Nets30c31,398$9,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,470.057745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks70c29,057$20,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,766.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks74c27,436$20,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.361,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Nets26c17,156$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.4516942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Nets20c13,316$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6935832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks77c12,613$9,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.721,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Nets27c10,960$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.0527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Mavericks68c10,528$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.851675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Nets1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks70c9,266$6,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.981,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks71c9,099$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.591,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Nets16c9,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks74c7,751$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.223,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks66c7,480$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.81,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mavericks78c7,430$5,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.5347856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks74c7,395$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.952,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Nets22c7,114$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.7731044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets16c6,688$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.051,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nets1c6,475$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Mavericks80c6,332$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.468343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aeb…be79backed Mavericks74c5,855$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks72c5,833$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets33c5,817$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Mavericks70c5,780$4,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73424048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets26c5,555$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.336741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets27c5,100$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nets23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks72c4,908$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.971,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed Nets32c4,688$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Mavericks70c4,417$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.3254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345e…8fa6backed Nets27c4,400$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks71c4,380$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Mavericks74c4,285$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.1310769.2%74 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets26c4,244$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks74c4,200$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Mavericks73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.595657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nets27c4,039$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.5376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Mavericks71c3,651$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.731455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Mavericks70c3,575$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.497347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks73c3,565$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.7348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Nets32c3,389$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.867259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Nets42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets1c2,952$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.768820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Nets35c2,931$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.8824634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Nets27c2,921$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6744648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Mavericks68c2,584$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.753250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Mavericks70c2,379$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.793737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Mavericks71c2,318$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.212040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Mavericks76c2,258$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3616864.3%108 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Mavericks70c2,258$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.5717250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Nets24c2,232$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7116863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Mavericks70c2,231$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.316370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Mavericks73c2,221$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.757957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked Nets30c2,125$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.771947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Nets28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nets24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mavericks55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Mavericks75c1,963$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3322542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks74c1,945$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.734942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Mavericks73c1,763$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0130947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Mavericks71c1,700$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.259260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks74c1,634$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.11,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks74c1,594$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Mavericks68c1,575$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048534.1%29 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks73c1,552$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Nets32c1,545$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.052646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c84…1489backed Nets30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e3…29e3backed Nets30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d62…2fe8backed Mavericks74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3903100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Nets1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030444.7%136 W · 168 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Nets27c1,483$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Mavericks74c1,477$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0216053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Nets24c1,436$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Nets24c1,391$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6115547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Mavericks74c1,344$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Nets27c1,333$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…8d52backed Mavericks73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35112254.1%66 W · 56 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc04b…bd48backed Nets26c1,300$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9912240.2%49 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Nets41c1,213$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49413935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9275…e911backed Mavericks74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…86dcbacked Nets21c1,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.721030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets26c1,154$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks69c1,148$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.061,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets26c1,142$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.912,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Nets27c1,133$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.