NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b91be9b0079ba4701a74e23eecc86c5dac810f158e408384a98d9cd6d84fb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…9f78backed Under | 51c | 11,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,049$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…3127backed Under | 52c | 4,788$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Under | 51c | 3,134$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 1,350$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.76 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 1,278$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,113$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.03 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 551$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 43c | 460$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 381$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 367$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 77c | 299$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 53c | 249$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 49c | 234$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 23c | 189.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…1f0bbacked Over | 49c | 151.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 150.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…1890backed Under | 22c | 92.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 51.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 56c | 37.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f653backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…9dc0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…3fdabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…8fbfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…220abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…147cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…9a60backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…2425backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…568dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…3d78backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.