NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abb1f26b705eafed4919cb13dd6e8ba70401f959523ae6b92dedf5a1c1c654e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 52c | 7,208$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.72 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…eeafbacked Under | 50c | 6,800$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 44c | 4,450$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Under | 48c | 3,602$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…6ca3backed Under | 49c | 3,347$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 2,306$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 44c | 1,117$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.52 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 52c | 449$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 400.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…8447backed Under | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 364$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 49c | 205.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 204.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 144.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Over | 44c | 83.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 59.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 58.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…8462backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 56.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 54.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 53c | 38.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…6887backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…aadabacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.