TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,591 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c7,208$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.7274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…eeafbacked Under50c6,800$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94040350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over44c4,450$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49220542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5827443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Under48c3,602$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ab…6ca3backed Under49c3,347$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c2,306$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.252,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over44c1,117$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5210144.6%45 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef8f…fa57backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8241742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over52c449$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5215855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c400.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.314145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8447backed Under49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c364$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3266046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over49c205.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c204.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9636854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c195$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6819552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over49c144.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.154153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.785141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.385131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.457247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0812454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4455…98e5backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.164957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.329048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Over44c83.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.252242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aba…7d56backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over46c59.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c58.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x723c…8462backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.649852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under54c56.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c54.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.032,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0823642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0811848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.047751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2814751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Over51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under51c39.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.114151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over53c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.271044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4613651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612561.6%77 W · 48 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.624351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412153.7%65 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.641952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d3…6887backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.663540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.362860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…aadabacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.855352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Over51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.273956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c21.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Over51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Over51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.