NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fea971317ece0cf3d98ee717ff736a8a6f2cefcb6df189c9cc412aff36f2a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,283,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,307,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,283,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Nets | 52c | 968,132$503,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 49c | 235,524$114,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,900.58 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mavericks | 48c | 150,007$72,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,003.66 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 49c | 134,789$65,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,070.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Nets | 50c | 128,544$64,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,687.44 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 48c | 89,584$43,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,283.45 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Nets | 48c | 29,967$14,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,384 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 51c | 20,000$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.3 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 48c | 19,582$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.36 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 18,754$9,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nets | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Nets | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 53c | 9,581$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.11 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,932$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,869$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,569$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,146$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 49c | 2,381$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 50c | 1,910$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,505$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.42 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nets | 54c | 1,485$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,384$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 50c | 1,267$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,187$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.5 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Mavericks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 52c | 500.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Nets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Nets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Mavericks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 387$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…4b06backed Mavericks | 58c | 341.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 54c | 339.71$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 48c | 315.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mavericks | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 30c | 280.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Mavericks | 47c | 243.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Nets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 201.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Mavericks | 51c | 188.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Nets | 52c | 185.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 51c | 114.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mavericks | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Mavericks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 96.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nets | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Mavericks | 41c | 93.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…de65backed Nets | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nets | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Nets | 52c | 80.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed Nets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed Nets | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nets | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nets | 50c | 71.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Mavericks | 52c | 69.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Nets | 63c | 56.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Mavericks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Nets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…015ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Nets | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Nets | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Mavericks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bd4cbacked Nets | 52c | 48.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Nets | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Mavericks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Nets | 57c | 35.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Nets | 52c | 34.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Nets | 47c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Nets | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Nets | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Mavericks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nets | 48c | 27.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.