TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Mavericks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks47c24,400$11,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,467.9914052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets53c21,358$11,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,051.7451350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks46c20,291$9,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,333.711,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks48c15,954$7,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,657.761,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Nets54c14,786$7,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,801.6119351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets55c10,628$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.531,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets54c10,035$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.181,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks46c7,503$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Nets54c6,500$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,99047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41df…95efbacked Mavericks47c6,354$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks47c6,200$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8201,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Mavericks48c4,692$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25212151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks47c4,249$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.1789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Mavericks45c4,088$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks47c3,411$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Mavericks47c3,219$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.9330351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks46c2,577$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.192,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.581,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Nets54c1,630$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Mavericks48c1,565$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.218448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks45c1,469$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66154246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Mavericks45c1,343$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.3119149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets53c1,243$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks47c1,200$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.662,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Nets53c1,097$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.412343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nets52c1,039$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.751753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…842fbacked Mavericks49c999.99$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+87.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Mavericks45c946.43$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks48c900.01$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks48c871.28$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.752,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks45c780$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Mavericks48c672.92$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32316837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks45c590$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Mavericks46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.37055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Nets53c533.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9610255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Nets53c477.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4711946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Nets53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.724556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks48c416.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Nets54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18426755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Nets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Mavericks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Mavericks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9651651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9240947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Mavericks46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9228929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Nets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9219556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Nets53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9426150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Nets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6281845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Nets53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0823547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Mavericks47c105.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8151451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Nets52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Mavericks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Nets52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0821352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Nets53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.952948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Nets54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811346%52 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks46c79.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Nets53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Nets53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.258552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Mavericks48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Mavericks48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb66…3272backed Mavericks48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Mavericks45c58.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.252643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Nets53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed Mavericks47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Mavericks48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Nets55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Mavericks48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0424552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Mavericks48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Mavericks47c42.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Nets53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Nets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7447948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Nets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7415643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Nets54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0419951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833e…f756backed Nets56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Mavericks47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Mavericks45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Mavericks48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Mavericks48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Mavericks48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3625150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Mavericks48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Mavericks47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Mavericks48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Nets53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Mavericks47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.163339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nets54c25.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9359948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Mavericks48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Mavericks47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Mavericks47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.