TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf57a…a337

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-6.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Idaho Vandals vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$16.8
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.58
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-2.5)backed Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.04
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.56
Vermont Catamounts vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.24
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$17
Louisville Cardinals vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Spread: Idaho Vandals (-3.5)backed Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Villanova Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.48
Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$9.99
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Swansea City AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.96
West Ham vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$16.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.94
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.2
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+120.7%+$14.22
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.86
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.6%+$7.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.77
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Partizanbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$7.83
Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.52
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Houston: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.63
Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.