Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47e0b6aef44bd9e97fc33eb0688034a0a6d25fac58eeafcdf09d9488bd0baa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 523.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 484.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 26c | 178$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.