Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ed3cbfbf1956f4f53377f643799c4421ac32aff73df70945fd0e883f19570b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 58c | 23,651$13,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,717.68 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 810.98$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 562.48$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 59c | 497$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 475$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 32c | 472.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 431.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 39c | 295$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 249.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed No | 41c | 195$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 44c | 161.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked Yes | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 58c | 134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 46c | 132.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 128.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 120.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 41c | 114$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 94.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 44c | 81.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…13a7backed Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 42c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 77c | 45.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 48c | 40.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 72c | 30.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Yes | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will St Mirren FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.