Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abc94761358e8de1b889bb700147cc6a31f3d86e4444d930aa85444319eefe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 769.85$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 72c | 510$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 327.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 318.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 283.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 29c | 124$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 21c | 93.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 83.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 28c | 80.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 28c | 79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b1d5backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…5a50backed Yes | 31c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.