Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2fd48028fe795b921da40e6fca1c873a2b91a99fc79cd1448be5036db509a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 10,150$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,169$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.45 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 45c | 5,930$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.49 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 53c | 2,391$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,276$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 44c | 999.73$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 614$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 53c | 526$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 62c | 257$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 35c | 251.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 242.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 211$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 53c | 132.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 27c | 112.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 100.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 46c | 87.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…b537backed No | 32c | 52.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 53c | 52.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 53c | 35.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 27.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…b824backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.