TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4cd…4dd1backed Heroic76c8,182$6,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.422556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed REKONIX29c7,860$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.7622647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed REKONIX1c7,221$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked REKONIX30c5,029$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.6117444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Heroic79c4,442$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.7134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic71c4,275$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.9755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX34c3,600$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.9816142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed REKONIX35c3,349$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.143050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX18c3,160$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.641,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX29c2,600$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX19c2,001$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.241,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX31c1,925$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3946535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Heroic72c1,688$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0114253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic66c1,592$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Heroic66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic70c1,500$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX14c1,421$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX20c1,331$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.021,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x960c…75d9backed REKONIX11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Heroic65c1,274$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic69c1,022$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4157355.5%318 W · 255 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Heroic65c1,001$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.514245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed REKONIX35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX26c957.42$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.541,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…d0a9backed Heroic69c869.37$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Heroic70c800$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.541457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed REKONIX25c799.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9834044.4%151 W · 189 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Heroic65c765$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.759145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed REKONIX14c708.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8215047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Heroic78c676.29$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8310770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed REKONIX32c622$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed Heroic70c599.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90af…ad4abacked REKONIX28c507.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked REKONIX10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic65c460$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16136054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed REKONIX29c417$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6411841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX16c415$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.214121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Heroic67c414.69$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.857944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Heroic75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Heroic65c388.43$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.955356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX15c362.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.032,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Heroic71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1118053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031e…276dbacked REKONIX35c315.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX14c311.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.171,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked REKONIX11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic70c296.33$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.990756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Heroic79c294.79$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed REKONIX34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Heroic69c290.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5712661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Heroic69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed Heroic70c285.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic72c275.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…68a0backed Heroic65c250.59$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked REKONIX33c237.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.163138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Heroic76c221.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked REKONIX29c206.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9712843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc378…9592backed Heroic69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Heroic71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed REKONIX31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed REKONIX31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic67c188.67$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.834154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX33c167.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.828934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Heroic67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.87844.9%35 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed REKONIX16c159.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9920530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed REKONIX34c156.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Heroic69c145.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.125149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Heroic69c135.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.854973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Heroic75c129.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.335354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked REKONIX33c129$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX28c126.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3349133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Heroic69c123$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.136850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed REKONIX31c122.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.123743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Heroic65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4222845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdfe…ec2bbacked REKONIX35c116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed REKONIX32c113.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d77…9dd7backed REKONIX32c110.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Heroic67c101.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6448352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Heroic69c101.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.356243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3a…4ecebacked Heroic63c95.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…2794backed REKONIX32c93.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed REKONIX32c93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Heroic65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3115250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed REKONIX21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xba2e…db57backed Heroic65c89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed REKONIX16c87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8747748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d7…2511backed REKONIX37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.467853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed REKONIX25c76.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Heroic65c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.654753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed REKONIX28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked Heroic69c72.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.783745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.295841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x962a…e2cdbacked Heroic69c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…532fbacked REKONIX29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed REKONIX19c65.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.285646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc334…1c20backed Heroic65c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.470236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Heroic69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.