TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x962a…e2cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.31
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.66
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$26.21
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.74
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.97
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.35
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.02
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$61.79
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240.24
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$335.34
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$52.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$155.21
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.1%+$14.72
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.75
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.6%+$64.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$28.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$180.56
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.4
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$29.11
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$219.6
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$126.15
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$57.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$54.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+67.6%+$81.46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$60
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.51
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+64.7%+$62.04
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$21.39
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75%+$55.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+54.4%+$25.74
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78.66
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$34.32
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72%+$83.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.36
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$40.68
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33%+$66.48
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46%+$15.15
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.56
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$19.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.87
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$5.99
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.