TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ41c6,066$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50033746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked MOUZ39c3,600$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9430…c2e6backed Tundra Esports61c3,600$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ15c3,368$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9916142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports59c1,865$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.931,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ38c1,800$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.7646535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Tundra Esports62c1,685$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.777562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports60c1,538$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61534146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports64c1,336$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.741,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports62c1,332$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2614253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports61c1,270$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.771,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ40c1,209$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports67c1,145$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3512459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6a…e565backed MOUZ40c1,130$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports60c1,125$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.822,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Tundra Esports63c999.13$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.813251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked MOUZ38c972.71$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.533138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf77…f8fbbacked MOUZ26c946.24$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.433718.9%7 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x824a…a101backed MOUZ39c938$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports52c891.28$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…9d00backed MOUZ39c845$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ50c829$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bca…7d09backed MOUZ39c810$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5302…c0dfbacked MOUZ38c809$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0672…5763backed MOUZ39c809$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc4…0947backed MOUZ37c806$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Tundra Esports60c799.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dd…fd2abacked MOUZ40c747$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…93c6backed MOUZ40c718.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked MOUZ36c715.43$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.877231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…01b2backed Tundra Esports60c709$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d39…9b8dbacked MOUZ40c680$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports60c672.63$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6873841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde29…2c8cbacked MOUZ39c667$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68fc…ad11backed MOUZ39c667$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bb…7462backed MOUZ40c661$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4a67backed MOUZ40c660$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d28…7ee5backed MOUZ40c660$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db3…d4c2backed MOUZ38c656.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…7e2bbacked MOUZ37c651$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef7…b515backed MOUZ39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…0150backed MOUZ40c620$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…bd81backed MOUZ40c590$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47b…5a9ebacked Tundra Esports61c566$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Tundra Esports63c550.95$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ38c548.53$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.441,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Tundra Esports62c523$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff27…f845backed Tundra Esports61c520$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce4…4b62backed Tundra Esports61c519$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports77c505.45$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ37c500.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1849133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ45c484.66$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5936054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd677…f89fbacked Tundra Esports62c484$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0087…fc86backed Tundra Esports61c477$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+145%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x833f…f564backed Tundra Esports63c440$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1319…5b8cbacked Tundra Esports60c421$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae96…e1a2backed Tundra Esports61c418$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Tundra Esports62c406.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.458543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ47c403.42$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7460646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Tundra Esports50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x840b…9e81backed Tundra Esports60c398$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d7…44a6backed Tundra Esports60c375$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+76.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde73…d7d9backed Tundra Esports60c370$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4643…4166backed Tundra Esports63c366$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.42560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ea…d9babacked Tundra Esports60c360$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x462b…7b02backed Tundra Esports60c349$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…c501backed Tundra Esports60c346$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb4c…7469backed Tundra Esports60c346$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…a491backed Tundra Esports60c344$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665e…b053backed Tundra Esports61c337$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…e897backed Tundra Esports61c336$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf03c…3effbacked Tundra Esports61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…faddbacked Tundra Esports61c331$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ef…3413backed Tundra Esports62c331$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.78333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e46…bb13backed Tundra Esports60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x174a…6f03backed Tundra Esports61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072c…0b1fbacked Tundra Esports60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d52…816dbacked Tundra Esports62c326$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…0726backed Tundra Esports63c326$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890f…8d21backed Tundra Esports63c325$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb510…7becbacked Tundra Esports62c325$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x970c…376dbacked Tundra Esports61c321$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3665…155dbacked Tundra Esports61c320$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d98…35e4backed Tundra Esports60c315$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc2…f578backed Tundra Esports60c314$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports64c311.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6947660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e6…cbe7backed Tundra Esports60c310$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…779abacked Tundra Esports60c310$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9263…87acbacked Tundra Esports60c310$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Tundra Esports65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6917251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fc…122ebacked Tundra Esports61c290$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff9…79eabacked Tundra Esports61c279$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc06…3e6bbacked MOUZ36c258.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Tundra Esports69c255.59$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.110759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ39c254.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked MOUZ40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed MOUZ41c244.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ40c240.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590f…d809backed Tundra Esports60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.