TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REKONIXof REKONIX, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ71c28,241$20,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,048.7455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked REKONIX33c6,835$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.9713558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ66c6,000$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.9714854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX28c5,837$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.551,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX26c5,824$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,306.042,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ63c5,678$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.5317444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX26c5,260$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed REKONIX35c4,771$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.7810445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed MOUZ11c4,442$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.745646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked REKONIX15c4,297$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.377562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked REKONIX26c4,160$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.442763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked REKONIX34c4,122$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.3173841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX32c3,696$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.641,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed MOUZ65c2,555$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.2313346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed REKONIX34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32016142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed REKONIX28c1,790$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.5733644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX67c1,760$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.331,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX34c1,754$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.9446535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed REKONIX26c1,735$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.6214253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ32c1,668$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX32c1,593$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.951,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ3c1,417$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5240014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed MOUZ66c1,370$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9045761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed MOUZ44c1,167$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.244141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed REKONIX26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.8547660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed REKONIX26c1,023$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.088543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ1c1,002$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5780443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked REKONIX34c972.61$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.423138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…d0a9backed REKONIX26c927.33$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked MOUZ58c910.31$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.635648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX47c891.08$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed REKONIX28c714.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.586159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed REKONIX61c683.46$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8214940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX42c609.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.882,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed MOUZ10c553.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.574717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ54c536.36$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.627944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed REKONIX55c536$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.234443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ38c532.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ63c517.77$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1922654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked MOUZ70c488.01$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.074973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ48c459.3$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed REKONIX13c434.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed REKONIX34c416.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6618143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed REKONIX26c412.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1548352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked MOUZ68c402.81$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27518053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked MOUZ50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked REKONIX23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30839660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ17c398$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3830138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x982e…8ae3backed REKONIX34c394.29$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX36c392.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.162,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc06…3e6bbacked REKONIX20c352.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX28c308.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6567853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked REKONIX31c305.26$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.639245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed REKONIX25c300$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed MOUZ35c299.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.997835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ32c298.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6787645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked MOUZ73c272.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70d7…2511backed REKONIX37c271.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.893537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed REKONIX56c268.34$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.625137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed REKONIX34c225.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.342748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ15c223.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.113827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed REKONIX34c208.53$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.635642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed REKONIX20c200.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7720535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.68934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aab…1536backed REKONIX50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11092056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ70c198.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6111348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed REKONIX41c196.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8353757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ39c192$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7679341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed MOUZ66c186.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa388…76dcbacked REKONIX50c177.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed REKONIX26c170$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.811841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX27c169$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ71c161.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.131,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ67c151.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.991850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked REKONIX26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2379343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ68c149.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.061,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c44…e531backed REKONIX20c147.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX20c147.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11829245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked MOUZ69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ68c137.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.272035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ73c136.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed MOUZ69c125.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed REKONIX35c121.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed REKONIX19c117.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8916445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked REKONIX17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+97.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed REKONIX30c115.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4320530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked REKONIX26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.383138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed REKONIX28c112.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5615047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed REKONIX26c111.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5426957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked REKONIX59c111$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6811145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0688…ca67backed REKONIX34c110$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed REKONIX32c108$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked REKONIX37c104.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.074548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked MOUZ71c102.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.946243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed MOUZ66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.