Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c403f376f7d3a3105f1626f7843024df4ae178e03f66d66e3389542873fec01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 15,812$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.52 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 14,307$8,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714.32 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 13,775$9,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.77 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 8,809$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.33 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,309$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 6,925$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.42 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,563$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 5,400$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 4,730$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.02 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,476$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.78 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,280$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,896$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.66 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,047$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 2,650$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,645$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 2,521$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,509$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,448$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,400$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,382$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,247$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.62 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 2,185$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,117$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.71 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,976$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.91 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,971$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,935$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,913$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.36 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,838$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.17 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 1,831$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,822$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.68 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.74 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,379$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,348$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.85 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…3283backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 1,188$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,167$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,145$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,137$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,119$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…e5b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…a59abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,010$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0d…b6cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 981.94$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 892.45$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.9 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 815.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 789.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 766.01$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…10a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 761.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 705$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 704.7$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.92 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…c025backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 676.92$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 623.38$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 604.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 563.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 536.48$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 525.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 487.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 484$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 463.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 435.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 412.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 400.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 400.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…be19backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 387.39$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 375.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 365.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 350.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 344.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 340.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 336.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 333.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 311.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 306.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 298.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 284.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 270.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 264.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 259.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 229.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…17d7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 228.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 223.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.