Movies · resolved market

Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x288500c71799fe8e468b24d9f68356d22ddcc9b3470cac309c69edef202b1e34

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 16, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $181,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $205,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,564 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0f99…9b59backed No	27c	8,008$2,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,162	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	69c	6,094$4,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.04	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked No	1c	5,545$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.45	121	4.1%5 W · 116 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-85%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes	29c	5,469$1,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,867.2	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d5…98aebacked Yes	77c	4,583$3,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.61	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed No	3c	4,549$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.53	74	4.1%3 W · 71 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb84…f704backed No	1c	3,596$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3709…3d7ebacked No	11c	2,571$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.3	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…2392backed No	26c	2,437$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.37	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed No	20c	2,219$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.61	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed No	70c	2,051$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.91	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked No	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf982…1c15backed No	73c	1,929$1,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes	33c	1,873$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.63	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1327…9237backed No	58c	1,822$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	59c	1,815$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.73	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No	15c	1,438$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.73	179	9.5%17 W · 162 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	62c	1,355$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.1	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No	2c	1,256$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No	6c	1,142$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.81	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes	24c	1,095$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.9	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed No	9c	1,050$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	78c	1,000$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.81	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes	79c	982$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.22	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46e7…987ebacked No	4c	919.49$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…71b1backed Yes	45c	897.76$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.07	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No	31c	817.58$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	20cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed No	28c	800.8$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.08	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-54%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed No	69c	787.77$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.15	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Yes	68c	675.01$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.27	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes	70c	613.13$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.4	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	68cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c6…0b9ebacked No	73c	602.15$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed No	14c	591.56$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	166	14.5%24 W · 142 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes	30c	554.84$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.84	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed No	9c	535.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed No	15c	524.88$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked No	26c	522.53$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.41	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No	4c	520$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b8…762dbacked Yes	75c	500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed No	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked No	77c	461.47$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked No	42c	456.43$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	13c	455.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc006…e72dbacked Yes	23c	442.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca7…c9ffbacked No	46c	425.17$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked No	3c	422.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	62c	383.78$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.71	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc8a…e621backed Yes	74c	350.85$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38c…3ee7backed No	8c	337.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No	15c	323.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4243…dae3backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes	72c	292.69$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.82	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9283…4fc9backed No	77c	261.13$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-73%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Yes	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc27…458dbacked Yes	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x040e…8edfbacked Yes	77c	250$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed No	14c	245.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.31	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf41…1587backed No	72c	222.02$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.06	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…c70cbacked Yes	25c	196.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	51c	187.79$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.82	198	36.4%72 W · 126 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe19…161dbacked No	29c	186.44$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+72.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No	10c	165.11$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.27	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x792d…c475backed No	63c	158$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.54	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…e58bbacked No	17c	156.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed No	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	67c	136.12$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.42	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1657…4068backed No	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+134.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x712f…9fe6backed Yes	29c	116.41$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.23	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ba…1c1dbacked Yes	67c	114.86$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.1	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked No	15c	111$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf007…10b4backed Yes	26c	110$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked No	42c	100.15$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	190	31.1%59 W · 131 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…aa40backed No	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b9…b4febacked Yes	79c	90$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdacf…19a0backed No	28c	88.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	40c	87.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.06	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36cb…810abacked Yes	73c	85.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.42	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	67c	84.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes	28c	82.81$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.68	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46c9…a977backed No	25c	80.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b97…99e5backed No	15c	77.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a6…aa64backed Yes	75c	67.56$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.89	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f0…7772backed Yes	72c	65.47$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f85…8693backed No	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e6…2690backed Yes	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x647f…3710backed Yes	32c	58.19$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes	78c	50.02$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaef…6234backed No	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…06ecbacked No	73c	42.47$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	70cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bd6…e4d5backed Yes	31c	41.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+222.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962a…e2cdbacked No	45c	40.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…d05abacked No	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe9…9311backed Yes	74c	36.49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95aa…7139backed No	77c	35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…1d67backed Yes	75c	34.49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed No	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1246…6192backed Yes	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?this page
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $19-22m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $22-25m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross more than $25m on 3-day opening weekend?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event