Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d862537bfdc2bad0e8951286b8098d5093a3658e8a9b173fee5844423af237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x622a…2b59backed MOUZ | 1c | 7,110$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 33c | 5,914$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.54 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 5,886$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.24 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,329$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.42 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 31c | 3,301$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,473$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.02 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,759$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.65 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…6b00backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,362$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…d2a7backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,347$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,314$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…20f0backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,304$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…7c2abacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,281$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…1f57backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,261$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…deaebacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,252$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,252$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.73 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…2c59backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,232$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1ad5backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,189$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…5a76backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,176$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…aea0backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,088$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 31c | 992.44$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed MOUZ | 33c | 927$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…a592backed MOUZ | 38c | 864$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed MOUZ | 33c | 844$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…79eabacked MOUZ | 33c | 830$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed MOUZ | 33c | 787$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ | 31c | 750.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons | 65c | 747.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed MOUZ | 33c | 730$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…9687backed Team Falcons | 62c | 714$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…1c13backed Team Falcons | 65c | 705$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…a353backed Team Falcons | 65c | 704$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ | 4c | 700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 67c | 693.34$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.65 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Falcons | 58c | 688.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.74 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…df1cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 673$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 666$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…9c90backed Team Falcons | 65c | 657$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…1f6bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 647$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…ade1backed Team Falcons | 64c | 643$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…09ebbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 638$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…663dbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 633$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…8fbdbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 632$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 24c | 632$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…7f16backed Team Falcons | 65c | 631$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…7eafbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 631$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…7e3cbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 630$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…bff1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 628$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…5a98backed Team Falcons | 65c | 627$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…a68cbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 625$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…8ffabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 610$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…6cafbacked MOUZ | 34c | 602$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…ec1fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…2922backed Team Falcons | 62c | 588$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 62c | 587.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 574.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…e2ddbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 548$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a7a0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 542$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 537$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed Team Falcons | 67c | 501$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…198fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 67c | 497.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…e897backed Team Falcons | 67c | 495$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 494$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 492$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Team Falcons | 67c | 486$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 433$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 343$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…ea6abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 340$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed Team Falcons | 67c | 335$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…7e8ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 327$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 326$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed MOUZ | 35c | 318.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 316.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc4…0947backed Team Falcons | 66c | 307$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…9a30backed MOUZ | 18c | 304.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…f94fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 301$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 295.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Team Falcons | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 35c | 294.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…d0a9backed Team Falcons | 73c | 284.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed MOUZ | 36c | 279.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ | 32c | 274.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 37c | 269.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 26c | 258.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 241.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 238$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 218$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Falcons | 68c | 209.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 202.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Falcons | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed MOUZ | 34c | 196.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ | 27c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 64c | 167$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.