Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb048c0ff26688a3af5d918a22c7c7e1a3388c0d249e29344d381c375fbe05871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 43c | 30,000$12,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,839.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 43c | 20,401$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,809.61 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 19,264$11,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,138.43 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 12,903$7,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.37 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 69c | 12,836$8,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.24 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 59c | 12,700$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 10,207$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 36c | 9,983$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 9,108$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.03 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Team Spirit | 1c | 6,555$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 5,876$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 5,803$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 5,743$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.41 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,914$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.45 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,573$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 3,360$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,043$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.67 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,700$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 27c | 2,630$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…d56fbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,195$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,957$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.75 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Spirit | 35c | 1,883$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.49 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,730$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.31 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…16c6backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,721$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,696$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.48 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,638$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.06 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Spirit | 13c | 1,631$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…0744backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,584$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Spirit | 4c | 1,536$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.15 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,384$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,264$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,179$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…86a8backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,110$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,097$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 910.48$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.12 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 40c | 864.66$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 796.04$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.04 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 752.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.45 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Team Falcons | 61c | 744.66$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…6e5ebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 70c | 709.93$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 620.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 59c | 594.78$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Team Falcons | 70c | 575$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Falcons | 61c | 568.83$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Spirit | 18c | 559.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 510$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…767fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 509.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Spirit | 36c | 506.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons | 60c | 502.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Team Falcons | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Spirit | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Team Spirit | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Falcons | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Spirit | 41c | 495.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…dbd2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 494.72$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 492.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 39c | 483$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 41c | 480.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Team Spirit | 43c | 463.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…19aabacked Team Spirit | 36c | 460.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Spirit | 19c | 459.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 375.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 348.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Team Spirit | 42c | 346$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Spirit | 43c | 343.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 340.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…ae93backed Team Falcons | 73c | 307.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…6631backed Team Falcons | 49c | 300.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…4f4fbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 299.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bb2fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 276.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 269.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 269.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Team Spirit | 43c | 269$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 59c | 265.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 66c | 248.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 51c | 247.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 41c | 245.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Team Spirit | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Falcons | 60c | 231.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 36c | 221.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 53c | 219.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…2370backed Team Spirit | 49c | 201.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Team Falcons | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Spirit | 30c | 196.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Spirit | 14c | 188$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Spirit | 38c | 186$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 180.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Spirit | 40c | 173.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.