TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Yandex58c4,985$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.0813558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…14f4backed Team Spirit50c3,100$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6aa…7b2cbacked Team Yandex50c3,100$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit31c3,096$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.871,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit47c2,105$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7673841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a3…e71dbacked Team Yandex43c1,679$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit33c1,600$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Spirit52c1,564$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.4719943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex50c1,535$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.516142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit42c1,185$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.751,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit50c1,154$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.241,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Team Spirit51c1,099$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.153050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Team Yandex48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Team Yandex50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Spirit45c969.05$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.357562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Spirit18c919.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Spirit7c881$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.539145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Yandex48c845.83$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.834533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Team Spirit59c845.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Spirit2c833$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Spirit52c799.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4163354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Yandex49c744.22$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.315356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit48c743.3$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.988728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex48c737.61$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Yandex49c699.98$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1118550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex51c682.88$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0625444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf77…f8fbbacked Team Spirit33c661.34$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.283718.9%7 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex67c600.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5316058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbacc…fbe8backed Team Yandex79c600$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Spirit49c511.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Spirit40c502.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex80c501.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf056…b5dfbacked Team Yandex51c494$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.411471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Team Yandex51c481.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.484146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Team Yandex50c451.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.633138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Spirit24c439.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4115337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Spirit46c437.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex53c414.34$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…608dbacked Team Yandex50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed Team Yandex62c385.17$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.135646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Spirit51c339.22$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17341248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex48c312.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7533541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit52c289.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5861057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit41c254.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.698648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Team Spirit60c254.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.022339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a6…a40abacked Team Yandex63c253.47$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Yandex48c226.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.212843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex37c211.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7726453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Team Yandex50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Team Yandex51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Team Spirit50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12458152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex38c199.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Spirit9c193.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7616835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Team Spirit52c192.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Team Spirit52c192.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Spirit53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6425348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex55c184.65$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.571,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Team Spirit61c169.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Spirit24c168.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.114940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa388…76dcbacked Team Yandex61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aab…1536backed Team Yandex63c159.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.631850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Team Spirit55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.520767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Team Spirit25c149.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Spirit51c139$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.395549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Team Yandex50c136$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Team Yandex48c132.39$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.325550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b4…b5e8backed Team Spirit50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex39c128.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.762,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b0…b4f4backed Team Spirit48c125.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex48c124.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44dc…a141backed Team Yandex58c116.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479b…7235backed Team Spirit45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.14045%18 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed Team Spirit27c109.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Team Yandex51c105.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7838649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…f3f0backed Team Yandex47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Team Yandex60c103.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.024163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Team Yandex50c100.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.618934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Spirit50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Team Spirit50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e9…eea8backed Team Spirit50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe5…fe2ebacked Team Yandex47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Yandex49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Spirit51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.995648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Yandex76c99.66$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.592343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c4…7652backed Team Yandex49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Team Spirit51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit40c96.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f2…1793backed Team Spirit54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Team Spirit51c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.395853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Team Spirit51c85.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0118154.7%99 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex47c79.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.622,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Team Spirit39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10b…bdc7backed Team Spirit50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

  • Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagethis page
  • First Blood in Game 1?Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.