Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11222b7d4f7a89b4daf6c4f332be2a8f723051a20ec0cbb9b7d92b686ac6f6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 41c | 23,498$9,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,579.66 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 20,000$12,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.97 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 57c | 18,825$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.86 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 9,172$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.01 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Heroic | 24c | 8,710$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.21 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Heroic | 41c | 7,825$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.12 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 44c | 6,742$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.74 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 59c | 5,894$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.17 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 41c | 5,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 29c | 4,336$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.53 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Liquid | 54c | 3,706$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 40c | 3,681$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.79 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 77c | 3,571$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.49 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 21c | 3,117$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Heroic | 46c | 2,407$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 41c | 1,888$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,834$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,744$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.44 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 27c | 1,646$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.65 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Heroic | 46c | 1,530$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 39c | 1,430$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.78 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 42c | 1,374$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.1 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,204$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,189$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Heroic | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 40c | 1,122$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Heroic | 32c | 1,008$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 982.68$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Liquid | 59c | 966$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 907.56$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 819.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 38c | 814.44$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 6c | 606.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid | 62c | 601.23$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 11c | 599.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic | 40c | 500.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Heroic | 38c | 494$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 64c | 492.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Heroic | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 64c | 429.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Team Liquid | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heroic | 4c | 398.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 378$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…96d5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 343$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Team Liquid | 64c | 322.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 37c | 308.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Team Liquid | 64c | 301$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Heroic | 28c | 295.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Heroic | 40c | 250.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Heroic | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 36c | 246.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 23c | 242.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Team Liquid | 63c | 238.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 29c | 232.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Heroic | 37c | 229.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Heroic | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Heroic | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Heroic | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Heroic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Heroic | 35c | 197.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Heroic | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Heroic | 18c | 181.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Heroic | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Heroic | 41c | 173.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Heroic | 37c | 171$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Liquid | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 161.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Heroic | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Heroic | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…3283backed Team Liquid | 73c | 137.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Heroic | 43c | 137.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Heroic | 30c | 131.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic | 27c | 120.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 119.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Heroic | 43c | 102.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 18c | 100.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Team Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Heroic | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 98.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Team Liquid | 66c | 95.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Heroic | 42c | 95.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Heroic | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…eee9backed Heroic | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Heroic | 40c | 76.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Heroic | 29c | 75.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic | 40c | 74.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…e2cdbacked Heroic | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Heroic | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…c72fbacked Heroic | 31c | 64.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Heroic | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.