Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ff9d17f29b5b46b943ea07bb6b26ac27819ed8e66d05408f60340489ce016b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked GamerLegion | 57c | 10,617$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.48 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 8,617$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed GamerLegion | 1c | 7,221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 6,704$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.64 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,238$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.38 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 26c | 2,853$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed GamerLegion | 37c | 2,350$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.48 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,015$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 2,013$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 24c | 1,775$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,750$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,701$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 40c | 1,515$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,494$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.22 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GamerLegion | 39c | 1,376$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.74 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,242$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,200$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 999.97$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.66 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed GamerLegion | 36c | 988.3$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 975.89$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 864.86$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 758.07$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 747.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.46 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed GamerLegion | 38c | 746.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 669.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.44 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed GamerLegion | 34c | 611.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 598.19$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 582.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked GamerLegion | 42c | 564.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 515.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 505$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 501.5$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed GamerLegion | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 8c | 489.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 472.67$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 472$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 433.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 424.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 423.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 417.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 416.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 403$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed GamerLegion | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed GamerLegion | 3c | 390.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed GamerLegion | 32c | 378.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 303.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 290$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bb2fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 287.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 258$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 251.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed GamerLegion | 39c | 239.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 234.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…6333backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 221.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed GamerLegion | 20c | 219.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed GamerLegion | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 214.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GamerLegion | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed GamerLegion | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed GamerLegion | 35c | 198.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GamerLegion | 7c | 191$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 164.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 140.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…0379backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 129.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…e2cdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 129$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 126$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…9592backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 111.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion | 41c | 110.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…05aebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…19aabacked GamerLegion | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed GamerLegion | 18c | 97.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 92.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…211ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 90.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 82.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 79.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked GamerLegion | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed GamerLegion | 36c | 69.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 67.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 49c | 63.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed GamerLegion | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +139%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.