TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,577,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,982,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,577,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ39c240,310$93,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,315.9422049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit60c158,658$95,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,463.2714441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Spirit60c142,406$85,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,361.0414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit57c125,243$71,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,861.6542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…a9bebacked MOUZ35c54,211$18,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,910.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed MOUZ40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.9410551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ41c48,888$20,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,044.0825842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit61c32,020$19,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,487.6723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit67c29,665$19,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,933.8464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cba5backed MOUZ0c29,140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.221973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked MOUZ40c29,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.8912449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked MOUZ21c27,191$5,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,632.134139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ40c24,640$9,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,85675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ40c24,100$9,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,64021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ40c20,222$8,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,088.6883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.8736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ40c19,633$7,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,853.3511638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ36c19,610$7,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,102.2923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ25c18,495$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,698.5642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Spirit58c17,499$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.7522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Spirit77c17,299$13,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.447256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Spirit60c17,090$10,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,835.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed MOUZ41c15,884$6,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,512.24580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ33c14,817$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.6871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Spirit60c14,491$8,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed Spirit73c13,434$9,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed MOUZ41c12,002$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860.7211654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Spirit75c10,926$8,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.338564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit79c10,099$7,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.7464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed MOUZ40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9622354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Spirit79c9,686$7,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.1623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ20c9,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ43c8,939$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.7222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spirit59c8,266$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.2116443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Spirit60c8,133$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.3319055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit60c8,128$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.0919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Spirit61c8,026$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.3612451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed MOUZ41c8,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed MOUZ40c7,953$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.213732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ25c7,840$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.922,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ23c7,736$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.7535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Spirit60c7,145$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ19c6,608$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.0149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed MOUZ42c6,363$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.5512253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Spirit60c6,311$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.3817945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed MOUZ40c6,266$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.44643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ40c6,200$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.9663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ20c6,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ40c6,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.8932732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ40c5,977$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.7284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Spirit60c5,881$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.5515264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked MOUZ21c5,716$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.282441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Spirit59c5,711$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.639054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MOUZ40c5,699$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.6928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ40c5,297$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.8720946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ41c5,116$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.7878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ42c4,933$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.8318547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit60c4,880$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95265650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spirit60c4,880$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed MOUZ41c4,823$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.436126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked MOUZ38c4,762$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.1219043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ41c4,660$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.5238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked MOUZ15c4,499$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.1312736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ21c4,267$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.137157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked MOUZ40c4,243$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.035444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed MOUZ39c3,798$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.1726952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0486…fbe5backed MOUZ40c3,748$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit60c3,649$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.4537646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked MOUZ23c3,610$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.1116920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Spirit59c3,306$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.6417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Spirit60c3,253$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.3310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Spirit60c3,153$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.1925845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed MOUZ41c3,048$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.663357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Spirit60c2,928$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Spirit76c2,832$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit60c2,768$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.2332548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed MOUZ42c2,762$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.874032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ42c2,739$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.761,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ30c2,698$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.128032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ41c2,696$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.5381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ40c2,682$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ18c2,629$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.871,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked MOUZ42c2,618$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.177425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked MOUZ41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0251827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ18c2,491$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.996,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked MOUZ40c2,489$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.345543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Spirit58c2,486$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.2814950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ40c2,454$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.6760248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked MOUZ40c2,410$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9647350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ19c2,405$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit61c2,405$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.8219346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked MOUZ41c2,386$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.4612465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed MOUZ41c2,364$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.388226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit75c2,113$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.352,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Spirit59c2,093$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed MOUZ20c2,037$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4620838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.