CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefe807968c77f4ca102f67fe14700dc85db9918701d57f3b084ef90d6b92f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Spirit | 33c | 42,159$14,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,037.23 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MOUZ | 66c | 30,307$20,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,002.93 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed MOUZ | 0c | 12,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 31c | 9,729$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.27 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Spirit | 33c | 9,630$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed MOUZ | 67c | 7,777$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed MOUZ | 67c | 7,352$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.51 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed MOUZ | 67c | 7,322$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.8 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 3,307$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.85 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 69c | 3,234$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.7 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed MOUZ | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Spirit | 34c | 2,929$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.53 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 33c | 2,036$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.08 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 35c | 1,922$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.59 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,708$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.27 | 604 | 48.8%295 W · 309 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit | 33c | 1,481$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.17 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Spirit | 33c | 1,461$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.35 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 33c | 1,440$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 1,289 | 22%283 W · 1,006 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,425$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,022$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.21 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,001$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.37 | 987 | 52.5%518 W · 469 L | +26.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Spirit | 34c | 994.01$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.05 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 69c | 990.61$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.52 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 67c | 888$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.96 | 1,149 | 49.4%568 W · 581 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed MOUZ | 42c | 718.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed MOUZ | 69c | 711.48$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Spirit | 33c | 686.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed MOUZ | 69c | 679.81$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.07 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 12c | 658.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 34c | 621.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.15 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed MOUZ | 43c | 611.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Spirit | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed MOUZ | 69c | 568.93$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Spirit | 59c | 535.07$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed MOUZ | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed MOUZ | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed MOUZ | 68c | 485.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed MOUZ | 67c | 477.12$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed MOUZ | 68c | 472.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 218 | 64.2%140 W · 78 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed MOUZ | 44c | 384.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Spirit | 33c | 372.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.43 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Spirit | 33c | 369.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Spirit | 33c | 349.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked MOUZ | 68c | 346.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 462 | 42.6%197 W · 265 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 57c | 340.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Spirit | 32c | 328.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Spirit | 33c | 306.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Spirit | 32c | 299.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 66c | 295.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed MOUZ | 67c | 291.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 65c | 287.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 287.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Spirit | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ | 68c | 272.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 267.18$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 263.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Spirit | 32c | 245.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 609 | 38.3%233 W · 376 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 11c | 234.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 45c | 233.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Spirit | 33c | 215.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 640 | 41.9%268 W · 372 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed MOUZ | 66c | 202.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed MOUZ | 48c | 202.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,051 | 39.8%418 W · 633 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Spirit | 33c | 174.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 618 | 38.2%236 W · 382 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 46c | 171.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed MOUZ | 69c | 170.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed MOUZ | 68c | 165.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed MOUZ | 67c | 163.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 30c | 146.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed MOUZ | 69c | 142.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 42c | 127.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 373 | 45.6%170 W · 203 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked MOUZ | 11c | 123.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 358 | 43%154 W · 204 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Spirit | 33c | 108.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 106.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Spirit | 47c | 103.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ | 21c | 99.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 322 | 33.2%107 W · 215 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 95.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MOUZ | 66c | 91.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e4…361abacked MOUZ | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 84.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 361 | 47.6%172 W · 189 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Spirit | 35c | 81.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 45c | 79.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed MOUZ | 67c | 79.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed MOUZ | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Spirit | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Spirit | 45c | 65.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Spirit | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Spirit | 47c | 62.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Spirit | 40c | 58.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 477 | 46.1%220 W · 257 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…760bbacked Spirit | 57c | 57.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 57.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Spirit | 54c | 53.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 196 | 67.9%133 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed MOUZ | 53c | 51.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ba…0acfbacked Spirit | 33c | 50.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Spirit | 72c | 44.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.