TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over49c2,808$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.7735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c2,106$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.8523653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c1,519$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over49c1,123$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c1,028$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under51c1,023$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2223851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed Over49c786.52$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.348862.5%55 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under74c651.61$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.551,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c635.46$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3714955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Over37c514.06$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9914454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over49c494.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Under64c427.47$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.32642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked Under57c384.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.254450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Over49c373.91$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2213238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over30c353.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.311,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c340.64$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9114856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over49c287.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under55c273.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3525634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Over52c260.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.985955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Over49c247.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.186634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over49c241.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.266552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Under56c220.8$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1514151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…aea3backed Over44c209.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc927…a023backed Over49c199.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba4…eddfbacked Over50c198.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…27c3backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over40c197.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.775,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over35c188.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3226037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a23…2c2bbacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10f…8604backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under53c183.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4747447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over38c182.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6961154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over49c138.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8620744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Under57c136.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5726443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under56c130.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over31c126.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over34c121.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8658745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3357…42fabacked Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over42c109.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0336645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db4…bee1backed Over43c107.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Over46c104.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.448052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over34c104.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.081,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9813049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over49c101.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9730062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.993036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over49c98.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4512260.7%74 W · 48 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over49c98.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over21c97.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2caf…8684backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac5f…cd03backed Over49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56566.2%43 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over18c95.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1130031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over35c92.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7545238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2513151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over49c83.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.051631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over52c75.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8420145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.759447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e6…abb3backed Under56c68.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.062236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d8…e2e8backed Over50c63.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.564755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over31c60.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under51c59.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over33c58.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.118451.1%94 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a3…1521backed Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Over26c55.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2411340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6e…77ddbacked Over49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.752842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over23c44.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…04ddbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.392556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…232dbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02a…9f2dbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe228…21e9backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa6…1b56backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Under57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d58…de06backed Under57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec8…8f70backed Over45c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Under74c32.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.434967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.647260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.549770.1%68 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfd7…df10backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.544436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37da…41d2backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under67c29.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.567065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Over52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5712248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd33…5452backed Under69c25.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over49c25.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3300…4ed5backed Under52c24.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171d…c8e8backed Over49c23.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9620646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.