TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$472,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$516,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2816…203fbacked MOUZ0c150,410$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Spirit61c35,403$21,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,946.7814954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed MOUZ40c23,820$9,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,504.125848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed MOUZ40c21,418$8,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,567.2217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit60c19,738$11,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,895.3172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit78c17,947$13,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.6822468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit60c10,071$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.9964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ39c10,052$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.2136152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked MOUZ39c9,881$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.625751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Spirit61c9,602$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.733778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ20c7,192$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.1239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ38c6,843$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.5916152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ17c6,672$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.812,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit59c6,656$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.9776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed Spirit79c6,233$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.891872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ3c5,620$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.561,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ39c5,386$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.5823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed MOUZ13c5,195$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.0210047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ39c4,983$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.3817849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ40c4,887$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.9963541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…37a2backed Spirit61c3,735$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.696100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ23c3,715$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked MOUZ15c3,633$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.146848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked MOUZ39c3,463$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.655444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Spirit60c3,320$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.1420554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ27c3,292$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.371,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ11c3,180$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7832832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa510…75a9backed MOUZ3c3,134$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Spirit60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ24c2,609$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.8988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ39c2,556$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.622045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ40c2,508$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.418032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Spirit61c2,442$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.196243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ32c2,322$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.284,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked MOUZ40c2,258$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.0518550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ25c2,253$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.161,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Spirit59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.954766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ24c1,968$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit60c1,952$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…c881backed MOUZ40c1,932$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ41c1,929$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.9735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ34c1,840$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63032732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ39c1,798$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.0951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit62c1,732$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.221,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Spirit61c1,692$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.628862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Spirit61c1,638$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.829656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Spirit60c1,635$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.7811133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Spirit67c1,630$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ39c1,396$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.91,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked MOUZ41c1,313$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.514139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed MOUZ22c1,295$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7720344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked MOUZ2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ19c1,233$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.433,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed MOUZ40c1,215$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.868842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed MOUZ8c1,204$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4718943.9%83 W · 106 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Spirit67c1,202$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.441,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Spirit61c1,201$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ4c1,166$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ41c1,155$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.185,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed MOUZ10c1,131$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8213357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ41c1,112$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2942651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd3…be21backed Spirit62c1,077$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Spirit66c1,034$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1415164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked MOUZ39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ6c999.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed MOUZ6c983.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.552425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit60c979.29$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.711,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed MOUZ6c959.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…27c3backed MOUZ6c939.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.731225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Spirit60c932.08$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.838752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ8c930.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.146345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed MOUZ30c924.98$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1910133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Spirit61c867.22$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2236253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ22c845.06$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.951,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Spirit65c831.12$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.722962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Spirit61c800.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1926045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed MOUZ20c800$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15641645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Spirit71c782.28$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0419857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked MOUZ38c760.71$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8313234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed MOUZ33c742$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.699023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked MOUZ41c716.39$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7232536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit62c684.04$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…939ebacked MOUZ7c675.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.033735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed MOUZ38c658.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.342835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked MOUZ17c620.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6841516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit60c605.12$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0531451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Spirit60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ40c600$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed MOUZ3c572.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8418426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Spirit69c568.29$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.615958.5%93 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b74…b8abbacked Spirit69c564.09$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.121190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed MOUZ40c561.38$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5514955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80b…7e1bbacked Spirit62c560.39$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed MOUZ40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed Spirit60c496.51$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.69764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ28c492.07$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.761,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked MOUZ22c491$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0211644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked MOUZ40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.831253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ38c481.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9340950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.