TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e75…0dd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
356
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT33151.7%171 W · 160 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 331 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.72
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$103
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$133.99
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$105
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$235.67
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$86.2
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$66.53
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$100.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$104.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$143.33
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$71.31
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Showing 25 of 331 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$83.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.95
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+348%+$571.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$140.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$306.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$100.93
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$373.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$169
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.