TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$638,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit33c199,243$65,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,387.5114441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons67c159,312$106,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,572.8122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons60c49,826$29,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,930.4176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit40c32,233$12,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,893.423839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Spirit22c10,047$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.4132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Spirit39c9,443$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.6215947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Spirit18c6,271$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.1425251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit41c6,129$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.6281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit11c5,298$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.782,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons68c5,240$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.212,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Spirit42c4,950$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.1397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons68c4,912$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.271,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit43c3,865$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.3255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons58c3,716$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.241,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed Spirit45c3,615$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.256126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Team Falcons68c3,586$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.912425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons57c3,480$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.1525555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons77c3,361$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.2649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit42c3,333$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons58c3,282$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.8728443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Team Falcons61c3,202$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.773246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Spirit40c3,181$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.4816447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Team Falcons57c3,029$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.6878963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit55c3,029$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.6937646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons67c2,960$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.9388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit28c2,666$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked Team Falcons68c2,564$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2910337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit42c2,501$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.497,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed Spirit29c2,445$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Spirit41c2,403$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.295955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Team Falcons61c2,401$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.5823249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons69c2,302$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.5632653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit46c2,291$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.585,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Spirit40c2,261$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.3929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons61c2,246$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0227658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons68c2,152$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.361,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Spirit40c2,032$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.6513238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Spirit41c2,008$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2517042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons48c2,007$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Spirit40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Team Falcons57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9915857.6%91 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons71c1,989$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.931,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons60c1,975$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.3733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed Team Falcons57c1,766$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.184344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Team Falcons59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8265650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Falcons60c1,626$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons65c1,613$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.1239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Team Falcons61c1,601$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.383470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons74c1,551$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit42c1,509$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Spirit40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons55c1,460$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.781,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons73c1,442$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.663,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Spirit22c1,430$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5621528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Spirit9c1,413$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5618426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Team Falcons49c1,375$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons67c1,339$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44337157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons67c1,329$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.261,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Team Falcons56c1,300$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.994645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Spirit3c1,292$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.329546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Spirit39c1,250$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.514847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Spirit40c1,224$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.718032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons64c1,161$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.681,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Team Falcons61c1,072$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.111061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Spirit43c1,057$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.672835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Spirit46c1,037$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.032227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons50c1,019$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8151252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit41c999.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit30c962.81$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.394,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons64c950.59$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit38c949.99$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36132732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed Spirit52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.660%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Spirit33c875.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.925543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7926…a4febacked Team Falcons70c836.61$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.983158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Team Falcons59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9123056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spirit37c774.35$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7137445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons75c773.59$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5516344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit41c771.68$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons67c757.94$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.121,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Spirit40c749.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.999656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed Spirit26c742.86$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1515132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Team Falcons69c742.23$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons73c733.35$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.726,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Spirit29c708.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.861,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Spirit6c708.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6925142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Spirit28c699.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Team Falcons60c699.47$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7942651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Team Falcons57c678.56$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.689266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Spirit40c674.8$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9212651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked Spirit16c652.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.468020%16 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Team Falcons77c638.59$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.42366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons65c590.23$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Spirit43c579.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1811644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit40c579.41$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.775,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons55c550$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Spirit18c532.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0721246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Spirit19c525.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.812852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Team Falcons77c511$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.474940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Falcons58c505.68$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2736749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit38c505.41$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2336555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.