CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57153c31fbe48d8b5f7a82035c9110428a1acc9a60898d85fa1ddc6dc62df37f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 2,243$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.07 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 58c | 1,452$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 59c | 996.49$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Spirit | 70c | 888.99$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.29 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons | 29c | 743.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.17 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Spirit | 78c | 707.72$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.64 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 680.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 71c | 673.88$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 475.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.25 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Falcons | 24c | 419.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.52 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 58c | 261.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Spirit | 76c | 186.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Spirit | 77c | 167.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Falcons | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Team Falcons | 45c | 165.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Falcons | 32c | 162.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed Spirit | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Spirit | 36c | 124.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Spirit | 80c | 124.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Team Falcons | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Team Falcons | 29c | 118.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Spirit | 49c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Team Falcons | 49c | 105.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Spirit | 38c | 104.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 101.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spirit | 69c | 98.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Spirit | 71c | 83.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Team Falcons | 44c | 70.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Team Falcons | 30c | 66.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Team Falcons | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Spirit | 61c | 57.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Team Falcons | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Team Falcons | 45c | 53.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 43.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Spirit | 74c | 30.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons | 38c | 30.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Spirit | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Spirit | 76c | 25.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spirit | 76c | 25.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Spirit | 76c | 25.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Falcons | 50c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spirit | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Team Falcons | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…046bbacked Spirit | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Spirit | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…f93abacked Spirit | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Spirit | 74c | 19.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.