CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2b66678d5e525d1de3c5806d93ca0c3291a88235c61f73303b1c3d3422d36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Spirit | 33c | 286,933$96,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,007.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 183,036$120,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,232.2 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 55c | 31,517$17,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,245.84 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spirit | 34c | 28,313$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,603.52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Falcons | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 11,984$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.7 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 9,394$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.94 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 9,353$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 7,935$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons | 79c | 7,670$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.44 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,938$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.34 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 5,711$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.84 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Spirit | 50c | 5,489$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.3 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,017$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.95 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed Spirit | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,908$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,785$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.86 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,480$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.48 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 39c | 3,448$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.69 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 3,367$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.62 | 400 | 70.8%283 W · 117 L | +39.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 28c | 3,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,719$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.39 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,703$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.88 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Spirit | 37c | 2,609$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 46c | 2,609$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.26 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Spirit | 66c | 2,237$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.95 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit | 15c | 2,198$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 68c | 2,019$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.12 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,017$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.78 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,974$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.09 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,800$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.81 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,696$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.13 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,668$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.72 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 51c | 1,664$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.68 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,612$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,542$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.06 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,391$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.17 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Spirit | 30c | 1,339$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.57 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,316$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 50c | 1,300$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.11 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 52c | 1,242$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 47c | 1,150$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.85 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Spirit | 51c | 1,108$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.47 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked Spirit | 21c | 1,057$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.18 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit | 47c | 1,054$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Spirit | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Spirit | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Spirit | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Spirit | 44c | 985.28$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.38 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 969.74$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.13 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 952.62$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Team Falcons | 54c | 932.1$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Spirit | 54c | 902.11$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 61c | 890.16$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 889.86$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.59 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Spirit | 13c | 888$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 887.64$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 49c | 848.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.97 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…3f34backed Team Falcons | 49c | 833.41$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.37 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Team Falcons | 46c | 827.78$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 757.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.28 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Spirit | 31c | 746.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Spirit | 52c | 704.38$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Spirit | 36c | 690.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Team Falcons | 74c | 665.02$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Spirit | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spirit | 37c | 569.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed Spirit | 15c | 559.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 551.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Spirit | 61c | 542.01$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 48c | 537.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 43c | 536.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Spirit | 18c | 532.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…747cbacked Spirit | 61c | 522.48$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit | 40c | 516.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed Spirit | 56c | 502.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Spirit | 68c | 490.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.86 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 488.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Team Falcons | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Spirit | 51c | 481.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons | 36c | 479.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 464.03$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…9faebacked Spirit | 66c | 459.22$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Spirit | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Spirit | 14c | 415.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…0dd7backed Team Falcons | 66c | 414.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Team Falcons | 47c | 402.54$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 54c | 396.43$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Team Falcons | 49c | 395.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…fb01backed Team Falcons | 44c | 387.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…f782backed Spirit | 58c | 379.26$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 30c | 363.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 51c | 362.4$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.