CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c6acaa111a0d33218eaecc58dbd3aec381ff1aa11496efbbd73d3904752380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 50c | 1,395$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.61 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 51c | 747.38$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…fb01backed Over | 71c | 547.59$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Under | 63c | 524.1$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 508.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 64c | 420.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 35c | 365.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 279.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 25c | 260$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 51c | 209.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 51c | 199.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 29c | 198.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 26c | 171.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 148.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Over | 44c | 136.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 36c | 108.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 105.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 52c | 99.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed Over | 51c | 98.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 93.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…53eebacked Over | 39c | 86.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…2acabacked Over | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 83.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Over | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…d286backed Over | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 63.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 55.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 53c | 54.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 38c | 53.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 22c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b0cdbacked Under | 59c | 49.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 47.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 50c | 43.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Over | 51c | 39.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 31c | 36.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Under | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Over | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Over | 46c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…82e5backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…ca51backed Over | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabb…8cc4backed Over | 51c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…2152backed Under | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.