Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1900ae956765e03b4c0b0c829d6ad7cd77c4b45d29c6e5256b0b35466c8defb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Disguised, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 17c | 26,972$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.73 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels | 80c | 13,276$10,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.1 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 16c | 6,395$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.98 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Disguised | 25c | 5,753$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.33 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 21c | 4,763$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.2 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sentinels | 74c | 4,285$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.05 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Sentinels | 72c | 4,197$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.56 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -17.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Disguised | 29c | 3,965$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.85 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Sentinels | 78c | 3,843$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.25 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 14c | 3,532$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.42 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Sentinels | 79c | 3,164$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.32 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Sentinels | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Disguised | 16c | 2,800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Sentinels | 72c | 2,768$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.3 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Disguised | 26c | 2,691$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.61 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Disguised | 5c | 2,645$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked Disguised | 20c | 2,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Disguised | 28c | 2,025$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.88 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 22c | 1,939$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Disguised | 14c | 1,790$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…71fabacked Disguised | 29c | 1,675$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 17c | 1,526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Disguised | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Sentinels | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Sentinels | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…3e22backed Disguised | 27c | 1,333$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.9 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Disguised | 27c | 1,257$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Sentinels | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 74c | 1,117$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Disguised | 27c | 1,108$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels | 73c | 1,066$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.91 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Disguised | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 69c | 979.43$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.62 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Disguised | 15c | 816.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Disguised | 30c | 726.73$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Sentinels | 71c | 718$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f90ebacked Sentinels | 71c | 694.49$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Disguised | 20c | 690.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Sentinels | 71c | 652.67$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Disguised | 17c | 637.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Disguised | 29c | 616.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 355 | 42.3%150 W · 205 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Sentinels | 73c | 576.46$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 23c | 555.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Disguised | 18c | 555$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Sentinels | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Sentinels | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Disguised | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Disguised | 12c | 465.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels | 72c | 456.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…5fb4backed Disguised | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Disguised | 29c | 430$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Disguised | 28c | 429.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Disguised | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised | 12c | 412$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 76c | 402.82$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Sentinels | 76c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Sentinels | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Sentinels | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 263 | 71.9%189 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Disguised | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 78c | 397.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Sentinels | 72c | 379.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Sentinels | 72c | 340$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Sentinels | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Disguised | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Sentinels | 74c | 286.73$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Disguised | 31c | 286.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Disguised | 15c | 279.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Sentinels | 72c | 277.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Sentinels | 73c | 267.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Disguised | 28c | 255$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 74c | 241.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Disguised | 22c | 230.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…0088backed Sentinels | 75c | 220.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 493 | 61.5%303 W · 190 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…1506backed Sentinels | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 398 | 63.6%253 W · 145 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked Sentinels | 74c | 215.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Disguised | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Sentinels | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…0dd7backed Disguised | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Sentinels | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7ecbacked Disguised | 6c | 181.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 177 | 12.4%22 W · 155 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels | 79c | 179$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Disguised | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Disguised | 12c | 171.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Sentinels | 73c | 168.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Disguised | 21c | 163.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Disguised | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…6955backed Disguised | 18c | 158.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Sentinels | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Disguised | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Sentinels | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Disguised | 24c | 136.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +12.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Disguised | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.