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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$736,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked FURIA44c33,802$14,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,797.957040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed FURIA46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.9620249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons57c26,469$15,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,452.5976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons56c24,314$13,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,600.1872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA23c19,948$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.163,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked Team Falcons66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.994971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked FURIA42c13,960$5,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,825.9817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FURIA34c13,022$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.1532425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons58c12,584$7,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Team Falcons54c12,329$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,660.78947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA32c11,458$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,690.7339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed FURIA42c10,093$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.177256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons57c9,852$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.4512454%67 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked FURIA46c8,536$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,926.566947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA27c6,607$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.992,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons77c6,406$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.6617460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons58c6,044$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.3825655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA24c5,962$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.351,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Falcons53c5,796$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.541340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Team Falcons72c5,553$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.917965.8%52 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA42c4,880$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.846349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Team Falcons57c4,871$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.532774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FURIA25c4,839$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.1649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA4c4,561$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0182143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Team Falcons78c4,542$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.4212453.2%66 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed FURIA21c4,199$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.897245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FURIA30c4,187$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.1240140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed FURIA42c4,039$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.44136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA24c4,006$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.8289546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed FURIA47c3,885$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Team Falcons59c3,756$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.6119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA24c3,170$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.232,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA28c3,013$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.941,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed FURIA42c2,926$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.3811439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA33c2,815$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.831,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA42c2,746$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.467,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA43c2,711$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.7822045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed FURIA1c2,352$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5252750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed FURIA13c2,262$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30513238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked FURIA1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30310%0 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA21c2,045$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.985,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647a…4d7abacked FURIA42c2,027$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed FURIA48c2,020$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.625749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA49c1,986$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.2965950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FURIA32c1,974$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfa…f428backed FURIA49c1,971$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…b18cbacked FURIA49c1,971$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed FURIA25c1,919$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.475444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Falcons54c1,916$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.1912571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Team Falcons57c1,808$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4212465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA34c1,803$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.584,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Team Falcons45c1,776$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.83458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked FURIA17c1,758$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.844738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA25c1,752$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Team Falcons73c1,751$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Team Falcons77c1,750$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.229071.1%64 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA31c1,660$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.571,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA27c1,655$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.526,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team Falcons59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.824944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a8…4c48backed Team Falcons54c1,542$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked FURIA1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA41c1,479$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2497240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed FURIA1c1,470$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Falcons57c1,461$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.3655845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons57c1,458$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9465351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA46c1,436$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5381544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked FURIA30c1,432$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4413553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FURIA21c1,410$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.221,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons59c1,366$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8827658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons74c1,312$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.213357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked FURIA34c1,271$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1811947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312f…913cbacked FURIA1c1,260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked FURIA42c1,250$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons80c1,242$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.641,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed FURIA43c1,230$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.918442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked FURIA1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked FURIA1c1,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed FURIA38c1,198$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7511740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d61…9909backed Team Falcons80c1,178$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.232025%5 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons76c1,165$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.441069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed FURIA45c1,157$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons56c1,152$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8924538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA25c1,140$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.684,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Team Falcons79c1,130$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7540070.8%283 W · 117 L+39.1wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Team Falcons58c1,104$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.529146.2%42 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed FURIA42c1,092$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4413044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed FURIA5c1,071$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5215752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Falcons58c1,065$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons55c1,019$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons71c1,011$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0423354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA14c1,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13552834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed FURIA1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed FURIA1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed FURIA1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3408661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FURIA18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Falcons59c999.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.998354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.