CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cdd0f2491b7817b64ff2f2ffd74959980f52d221232b50178016f160eea08b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FURIA | 42c | 3,250$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.93 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 69c | 3,155$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked FURIA | 71c | 2,637$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA | 55c | 2,458$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,052$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.35 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,912$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.36 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA | 61c | 1,811$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeef…e7e6backed FURIA | 70c | 1,703$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons | 25c | 1,012$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FURIA | 63c | 756.38$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.83 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed FURIA | 61c | 732.75$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed FURIA | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA | 72c | 643.01$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.38 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed FURIA | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FURIA | 42c | 493.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 472.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Falcons | 58c | 388.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 376.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed FURIA | 50c | 357.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA | 77c | 300$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed FURIA | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 295.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 287.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked FURIA | 71c | 207.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed FURIA | 72c | 191.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked FURIA | 71c | 155.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FURIA | 61c | 129.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed FURIA | 71c | 129.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FURIA | 74c | 125$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Team Falcons | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…a8f8backed Team Falcons | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed FURIA | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 93.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FURIA | 75c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Team Falcons | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked FURIA | 70c | 79.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 30c | 76.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked FURIA | 73c | 73.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…ff7cbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 71.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 61.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed FURIA | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Team Falcons | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed Team Falcons | 33c | 57.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FURIA | 62c | 51.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons | 76c | 47.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 41.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed FURIA | 46c | 36.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 35.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed FURIA | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…c4fabacked Team Falcons | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…4f18backed FURIA | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Team Falcons | 66c | 19.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed FURIA | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.