CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f292d9a6ed6b3d3db013ee9006c013f6897108e53b7d40f3325bc2918a67c6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,773 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under	50c	4,611$2,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,305.5	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over	50c	1,970$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.77	359	40.4%145 W · 214 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over	50c	970$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	67c	532.97$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.65	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Over	51c	479.4$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.81	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	-18.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	49c	437.42$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.08	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over	50c	388.75$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.08	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	23c	339.49$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.79	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over	46c	330$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	54c	320.89$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.61	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over	50c	316.22$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.11	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over	4c	288.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	25c	273.79$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.46	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over	19c	259.93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	452	38.3%173 W · 279 L	-29.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under	77c	231.33$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.2	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Over	23c	213.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	163	50.3%82 W · 81 L	+14.2wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over	53c	207.66$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.4	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Under	77c	203.88$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.9	655	46.9%307 W · 348 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987a…40cfbacked Over	43c	201.98$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	812	46.2%375 W · 437 L	-35.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Under	50c	162.03$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.02	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	18c	146.58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over	50c	145.5$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.75	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over	50c	135.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	27c	110.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	50c	108$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	31c	105.16$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	406	35.7%145 W · 261 L	-33.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under	50c	104$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	183	52.5%96 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	11c	101.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Over	50c	97.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	331	56.5%187 W · 144 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	34c	96.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	12c	96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	492	42.1%207 W · 285 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under	43c	87.72$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Over	57c	85.46$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under	52c	75.2$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.36	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…a38dbacked Over	53c	72.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over	42c	68.38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	201	45.8%92 W · 109 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over	25c	68.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over	48c	64.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	251	43.8%110 W · 141 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over	50c	58.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	460	42.8%197 W · 263 L	+16.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over	34c	57.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over	42c	57.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c18…37ddbacked Over	51c	56.07$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	22c	54.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under	52c	53.56$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.66	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over	51c	52.33$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	51.96$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Over	43c	49.23$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	113	40.7%46 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	285	56.8%162 W · 123 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	34c	45.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Over	40c	45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…ebcabacked Over	51c	44.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under	57c	43.84$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.98	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	45c	42.94$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Under	75c	42.13$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	480	52.3%251 W · 229 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…a515backed Under	58c	38.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	667	53.1%354 W · 313 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb972…f81cbacked Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	159	58.5%93 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Over	51c	38.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	206	56.8%117 W · 89 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under	46c	35.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	56c	34.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Under	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	33.87$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Over	49c	33.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…232dbacked Over	50c	31.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.52	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	368	46.7%172 W · 196 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Over	50c	29.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Over	50c	27.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	333	62.2%207 W · 126 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under	51c	27.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff6a…52e4backed Over	50c	25.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b6…53cbbacked Under	79c	25.59$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011d…458dbacked Over	50c	24.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…732cbacked Under	68c	23.08$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	46c	22.68$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.14	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event