TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdacb…c4fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.64
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Bohemian Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.49
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.22
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.08
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964.37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,275
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$786.77
Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)backed Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+525%+$142.02
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64.8
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,195.2
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$532.95
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$310.18
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.48
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+332.3%+$116.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TdU (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$12,839.87
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+60%+$834.77
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,952.13
Counter-Strike: OverKnight vs shimmer (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Group Abacked OverKnight · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312.5
Counter-Strike: OverKnight vs shimmer - Map 1 Winnerbacked OverKnight · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$813
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Legion (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Legion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.01
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,607.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.47
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.38
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.45
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffsbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.51
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.73
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffsbacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.02
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,105.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.13
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$225.01
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$397.12
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.75
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$1,195.65
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs NOVO Esports (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs REBORN (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.76
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.98
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$10.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+78.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$251.34
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$40
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.2
Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$104.53
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$99.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$661.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.